DK Metcalf Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D.K. Metcalf to garner 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
DK Metcalf's 68.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 96th percentile for wide receivers.
D.K. Metcalf has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

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