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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+126/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 9.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

DK Metcalf's 68.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 96th percentile for WRs.

DK Metcalf's play as a receiver has improved this year, averaging 5.5 yards per game compared to just 4.4 last year.

DK Metcalf's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.1% to 67.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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