DK Metcalf Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

My Account Log Out

reorder

DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to garner 9.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
DK Metcalf has been a key part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 28.0% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
DK Metcalf's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, compiling 5.6 yards per game vs a measly 4.4 last season.
DK Metcalf's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.1% to 67.6%.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More DK Metcalf Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow