My Account Log Out
 
 
DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • With a high 92.9% Route% (91st percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
  • In this contest, DK Metcalf is expected by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • After totaling 99.0 air yards per game last season, DK Metcalf has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 68.0 per game.
  • DK Metcalf's 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a meaningful regression in his receiving skills over last year's 64.0 mark.
  • DK Metcalf's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.94 figure last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™