DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 8, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-111/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
With a high 92.9% Route% (91st percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
In this contest, DK Metcalf is expected by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.8 targets.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
After totaling 99.0 air yards per game last season, DK Metcalf has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 68.0 per game.
DK Metcalf's 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a meaningful regression in his receiving skills over last year's 64.0 mark.
DK Metcalf's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.94 figure last season.

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