DK Metcalf Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to earn 9.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
DK Metcalf has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 59.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 17th percentile among WRs
DK Metcalf has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging just 7.15 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 17th percentile among wide receivers
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 8.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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