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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to notch 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
  • DK Metcalf has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • DK Metcalf has accrued a monstrous 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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