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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+159/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +179 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

DK Metcalf has accrued many more air yards this season (102.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

DK Metcalf's 69.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 96th percentile for wideouts.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to be a much smaller part of his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (30.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (39.4% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.8%) vs. wideouts this year (60.8%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

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