DJ Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DJ Moore

NFL · Player Props

DJ Moore

WR · Buffalo Bills

Touchdowns

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 3:44 PM EST

Analysis

DJ Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-213).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With an impressive 16.7% Red Zone Target Share (77th percentile) this year, DJ Moore ranks among the WRs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
DJ Moore has totaled far more air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).
DJ Moore's 45.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 37.9.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.6%) versus wideouts this year (68.6%).

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.1% red zone run rate.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

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