DJ Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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DJ Moore

NFL · Player Props

DJ Moore

WR · Buffalo Bills

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:12 PM EST

Analysis

DJ Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The projections expect DJ Moore to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (22.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last season, DJ Moore has undergone big improvement this season, now sitting at 76.0 per game.
DJ Moore's 45.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 37.9.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a 5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 7th-most run-focused offense in football in the red zone (46.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Buffalo Bills.
At the present time, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bills.
The Bills offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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