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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 140.1 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

DJ Moore's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.8% to 75.7%.

The New Orleans cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The model projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.

DJ Moore has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this season (16.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.4%).

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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