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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
  • The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Our trusted projections expect D.J. Moore to total 9.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

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