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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyson Bagent.
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 96.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • The projections expect D.J. Moore to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • D.J. Moore's receiving performance has gotten better this year, compiling 5.3 adjusted catches compared to a measly 3.7 last year.
  • D.J. Moore's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 57.7% to 77.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have just 120.4 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.2 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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