D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a measly 58.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among wide receivers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).

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