D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
This week, D.J. Moore is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
D.J. Moore ranks in the 99th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 78.7 figure this year.
D.J. Moore's 5.8 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a noteworthy gain in his receiving ability over last year's 3.7 rate.
D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 57.7% to 75.5%.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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