D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-215/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
With a top-tier 95.9% Route% (97th percentile) this year, D.J. Moore rates as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to earn 8.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
D.J. Moore's receiving talent has been refined this year, totaling 5.3 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.7 last year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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