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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • Our trusted projections expect D.J. Moore to accrue 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • D.J. Moore's 5.2 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a remarkable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 3.7 figure.
  • D.J. Moore's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 57.7% to 77.1%.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Carolina's CB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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