D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

D.J. Moore has run a route on 97.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (69.6%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 52.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in a mere 58.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile among wide receivers

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