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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 10.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, notching a measly 3.8 yards per game vs 5.5 last season.
  • D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 55.3%.

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