D.J. Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to accrue 10.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
D.J. Moore's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, notching a measly 3.8 yards per game vs 5.5 last season.
D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 55.3%.

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