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D.J. Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-139/+102).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Carolina Panthers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to earn 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.The Carolina Panthers have incorporated play action on a measly 23.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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