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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos

D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The predictive model expects D.J. Moore to earn 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The model projects D.J. Moore to be a more important option in his offense's passing game in this week's contest (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.7% in games he has played).

When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore grades out in the towering 90th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 86.0 per game.

D.J. Moore has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 51.0 yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 128.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

The Broncos pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, yielding 7.39 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

More D.J. Moore Player Props

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