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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.

The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).

This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has yielded a staggering 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the worst rate in the league.

The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

D.J. Chark's 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 42.4.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

D.J. Chark's 54.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 58.2% mark.

More D.J. Chark Player Props

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