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D.J. Chark
NFL · Player Props
D.J. Chark
WR · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC
NFL Props D.J. Chark Receptions

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-194).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -194.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
  • D.J. Chark's 43.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 81st percentile for wideouts.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 32.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among WRs
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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