My Account Log Out
 
 
D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+142/-191).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -191.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • D.J. Chark has run fewer routes this year (86.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.8%).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.4%) to wide receivers this year (69.4%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™