D.J. Chark Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+142/-191).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -191.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
D.J. Chark has run fewer routes this year (86.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.8%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.4%) to wide receivers this year (69.4%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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