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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.0 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

D.J. Chark has been responsible for a staggering 28.7% of his team's air yards this year: 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

D.J. Chark has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 85.3% of snaps vs just 70.2% last year.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

D.J. Chark's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 58.2% to 51.9%.

D.J. Chark's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, compiling a measly 7.15 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.73 figure last year.

More D.J. Chark Player Props

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