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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • D.J. Chark has been less involved as a potential target this season (85.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (70.8%).
  • D.J. Chark has accumulated a colossal 84.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 9.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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