D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
D.J. Chark has been less involved as a potential target this season (85.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (70.8%).
D.J. Chark has accumulated a colossal 84.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 9.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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