D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

D.J. Chark has run fewer routes this year (87.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.8%).
D.J. Chark has posted a monstrous 90.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (164.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (72%) to wideouts this year (72.0%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
D.J. Chark has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 53.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile among wide receivers
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.

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