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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Diontae Johnson to accrue 9.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

With an excellent 5.8 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Diontae Johnson's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.4% to 66.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.

Diontae Johnson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (78.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (96.2%).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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