Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 97.0% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.5%) versus WRs this year (69.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 123.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson's receiving skills have diminished this season, accumulating just 5.2 yards per game compared to 6.8 last season.
Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 65.6% to 61.2%.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends grade out as the 9th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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