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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to earn 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

Diontae Johnson's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 67.8.

Diontae Johnson's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, notching just 5.3 yards per game vs 6.5 last year.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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