Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
Diontae Johnson has compiled a colossal 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 61.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile among wideouts
Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a mere 6.73 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 4th percentile among wide receivers
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.