Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ +111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

Diontae Johnson has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).
Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.4% to 60.9%.
Diontae Johnson's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 5.83 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 figure last season.
Diontae Johnson's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling a mere 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.16 rate last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) to WRs this year.

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