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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Diontae Johnson has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).
  • Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.4% to 60.9%.
  • Diontae Johnson's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 5.83 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 figure last season.
  • Diontae Johnson's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling a mere 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.16 rate last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) to WRs this year.

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