Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to garner 8.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has accumulated many more air yards this year (102.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).
Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.4% to 62.4%.
Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, compiling a measly 6.09 yards-per-target compared to a 7.32 rate last season.
Diontae Johnson's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.16 mark last year.

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