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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to garner 8.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Diontae Johnson has accumulated many more air yards this year (102.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Diontae Johnson has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).
  • Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.4% to 62.4%.
  • Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, compiling a measly 6.09 yards-per-target compared to a 7.32 rate last season.
  • Diontae Johnson's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.16 mark last year.

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