Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to earn 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Diontae Johnson has compiled a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.96 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
Diontae Johnson's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 67.8.
Diontae Johnson has accumulated substantially fewer receiving yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

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