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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+193/-286).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -286.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.

Diontae Johnson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.7% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 94th percentile among WRs.

Diontae Johnson has compiled a colossal 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

Diontae Johnson's 67.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.

The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).

The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 9th-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.83 per game since the start of last season.

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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