DeVonta Smith Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The predictive model expects DeVonta Smith to accrue 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.8% pass rate.
The Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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