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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 99.5% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 33.9 per game) this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's group of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

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