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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 5th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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