DeVonta Smith Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 94.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (69.2%) to wideouts since the start of last season (69.2%).
The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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