DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
With a high 99.4% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
In this week's contest, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the projections to finish in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.8 targets.
DeVonta Smith has compiled many more air yards this season (95.0 per game) than he did last season (77.0 per game).
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.

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