DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 97.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has notched quite a few less air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

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