DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 94.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
DeVonta Smith has put up a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
DeVonta Smith has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 49.0 yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
DeVonta Smith has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 25th percentile.

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