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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 94.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVonta Smith has put up a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • DeVonta Smith has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 49.0 yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • DeVonta Smith has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 25th percentile.

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