DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.6% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to total 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
DeVonta Smith has been among the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 60.0 yards per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
DeVonta Smith has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) versus wideouts this year (63.1%).

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