DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+107/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.8% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 7.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has accrued far fewer air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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