DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
DeVonta Smith has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 57.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
DeVonta Smith has accrued far fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

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