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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.7% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • DeVonta Smith has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 57.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • DeVonta Smith has accrued far fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

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