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DeVonta Smith
NFL · Player Props
DeVonta Smith
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receiving Yards
Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ +107.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • DeVonta Smith has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 54.0 yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • DeVonta Smith has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).
  • DeVonta Smith's 54.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 62.8.
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