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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

DeVonta Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to be much more involved in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (21.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

DeVonta Smith has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.6%).

The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season.

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