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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-330).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • DeVonta Smith has put up a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVonta Smith's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (69.2%) to wideouts since the start of last season (69.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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