DeVonta Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-330).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeVonta Smith has put up a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
DeVonta Smith's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Completion% in the league (69.2%) to wideouts since the start of last season (69.2%).
Favors Under
The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.