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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+231/-363).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -279 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -363.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • DeVonta Smith has posted a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVonta Smith's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.
  • DeVonta Smith has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a measly 59.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile among wideouts

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