De'Von Achane Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

De'Von Achane

RB · Miami Dolphins

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

De'Von Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+134/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +198 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a massive 13-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.
De'Von Achane has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.6% last year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among RBs.
When talking about air yards, De'Von Achane grades out in the towering 95th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 4.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
De'Von Achane has been in the 98th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a superb 31.7 figure since the start of last season.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in football (58.1% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Dolphins.
The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 57.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 51.4 plays per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season.
De'Von Achane has rushed for 0.42 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (87th percentile).