De'Von Achane Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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De'Von Achane

NFL · Player Props

De'Von Achane

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

De'Von Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
In this game, De'Von Achane is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 87th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, De'Von Achane ranks in the 93rd percentile for carries since the start of last season, taking on 63.2% of the workload in his team's run game.
De'Von Achane has averaged 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (94th percentile).
De'Von Achane's running effectiveness (5.13 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (89th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a massive 13-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 57.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 51.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 107.0 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season.

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